Super Bowl Prop Bet Results and Trends: Comprehensive Analysis (2020–2025)

This report delivers insights for bettors seeking to optimize their Super Bowl prop bet strategies, with detailed tables, trend analysis, and sportsbook-specific data for every major player and position.

• Game odds, totals, and ATS results
• Player prop lines, odds, and outcomes for QBs, RBs, WRs, and TEs
• Over/under results for each prop
• Structured tables by year and position
• Four analytical sections: Quarterback, Running Back, Tight End, Wide Receiver

Super Bowl Prop Betting Results by Game

The Super Bowl stands as the pinnacle of American sports betting, with prop bets—wagers on specific player or game outcomes—driving unprecedented engagement and handle each year. From Super Bowl LV (2020 season) through Super Bowl LIX (2024 season), the NFL’s championship game has not only delivered thrilling football but also a dynamic landscape for prop betting enthusiasts. This report provides an exhaustive analysis of Super Bowl prop bet results, player prop outcomes, and betting trends for quarterbacks, running backs, tight ends, and wide receivers across six seasons. Leveraging data from leading sportsbooks such as DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, and others, we present game-level betting results, detailed player prop tables, and in-depth trend analysis to inform future NFL Super Bowl betting strategies.

Super Bowl LV (2020 Season): Game-Level Betting Results

The 2020 season’s Super Bowl LV saw the Tampa Bay Buccaneers dominate the Kansas City Chiefs, winning 31-9. The closing spread favored the Chiefs by 3 points, but the Buccaneers not only covered but won outright. The game total closed at 54.5, with the under comfortably hitting as the teams combined for just 40 points.

Super Bowl LV: Player Prop Results

Quarterbacks

The quarterback props for Super Bowl LV reflected the defensive dominance of Tampa Bay. Mahomes failed to reach his passing yardage and touchdown props, while Brady exceeded his passing TD line but fell short on yardage.

Running Backs

Fournette’s performance was a highlight, smashing his rushing and receiving props, while Edwards-Helaire also exceeded expectations despite the Chiefs’ struggles.

Tight Ends

Both Kelce and Gronkowski delivered for over bettors, with Gronkowski’s two touchdowns standing out as a major outlier.

Wide Receivers

Wide receiver props were a mixed bag, with Hill narrowly hitting his receptions but missing on yardage, while Evans and Godwin fell short of their lines.

Super Bowl LVI (2021 Season): Game-Level Betting Results

Super Bowl LVI featured a close contest between the Los Angeles Rams and Cincinnati Bengals. The Rams were favored by 4 points but won by only 3, failing to cover. The game total closed at 48.5, with the under hitting as the teams combined for 43 points.

Super Bowl LVI: Player Prop Results

Quarterbacks

Stafford’s passing props were popular, with most overs hitting, while Burrow’s numbers were slightly below expectations.

Running Backs

Akers and Michel disappointed, while Mixon exceeded his rushing and combined yardage props.

Tight Ends

Tight end props trended under, with both Higbee and Uzomah missing their lines.

Wide Receivers

Kupp’s touchdown prop was a winner, while Higgins and Chase hit their yardage overs despite missing on receptions.

Super Bowl LVII (2022 Season): Game-Level Betting Results

Super Bowl LVII was a shootout, with the Chiefs overcoming the Eagles in a 38-35 thriller. The closing spread favored the Eagles by 1.5, but the Chiefs won outright. The game total closed at 51.5, with the over hitting as the teams combined for 73 points.

Super Bowl LVII: Player Prop Results

Quarterbacks

Hurts exceeded expectations, especially in passing yards and rushing, while Mahomes hit his rushing and touchdown props but fell short on yardage.

Running Backs

Pacheco was a standout, hitting all his overs, while Sanders disappointed across the board.

Tight Ends

Kelce and Goedert both delivered for over bettors on yardage, with Goedert also exceeding his receptions prop.

Wide Receivers

Eagles receivers hit their overs, while Toney missed his props for the Chiefs.

Super Bowl LVIII (2023 Season): Game-Level Betting Results

Super Bowl LVIII was an overtime thriller, with the Chiefs winning as underdogs. The closing spread favored the 49ers by 2, but the Chiefs won outright. The game total closed at 47.5, with the under hitting as the teams combined for 47 points.

Super Bowl LVIII: Player Prop Results

Quarterbacks

Mahomes was a prop machine, hitting overs on nearly every line, while Purdy narrowly exceeded his yardage prop.

Running Backs

McCaffrey’s receiving and combined yardage props were winners, while Pacheco missed his marks.

Tight Ends

Kelce was a star for over bettors, while Kittle missed his lines.

Wide Receivers

Wide receiver props trended under, with Rice, Aiyuk, and Samuel all missing their lines.

Super Bowl LIX (2024 Season): Game-Level Betting Results

Super Bowl LIX saw the Eagles dominate the Chiefs, denying Kansas City a three-peat. The closing spread favored the Chiefs by 1.5, but the Eagles won outright. The game total closed at 48.5, with the over hitting as the teams combined for 62 points.

Super Bowl LIX: Player Prop Results

Quarterbacks

Mahomes hit his passing yardage and touchdown overs, while Hurts exceeded his rushing and passing TD props.

Running Backs

Barkley hit his receiving and touchdown props, while Hunt and Pacheco missed most lines.

Tight Ends

Tight end props trended under, with Kelce and Goedert missing their lines.

Wide Receivers

Worthy was a massive over, while Brown and Smith split their props. Hopkins hit his low lines for the Chiefs.

Prop Betting Analytical

Quarterback Prop Betting Trends (Super Bowl LV–LIX)

Across six Super Bowls, quarterback prop betting has evolved in response to shifting offensive philosophies, game scripts, and player health. Overs on passing yardage and touchdowns have generally underperformed relative to public expectations, with only select games—such as Mahomes’ 333 yards in Super Bowl LVIII—delivering big wins for over bettors. Notably, rushing yardage props for dual-threat QBs like Jalen Hurts have become increasingly popular and profitable, with Hurts exceeding his rushing line in multiple Super Bowls.

Hit rates for passing yardage overs have hovered around 40–50%, with unders often providing better value due to inflated lines and public bias toward high-scoring games. Completion and attempt props have been more variable, often tied to game flow and defensive pressure. Interception props, typically set at 0.5, have seen moderate hit rates, with Mahomes and Hurts both throwing picks in recent Super Bowls.

Notable outliers include Mahomes’ 66 rushing yards in LVIII and Hurts’ 70 in LVII, both easily clearing their lines. These performances highlight the importance of factoring in playoff scramble rates and defensive matchups when betting QB rushing props.

Implications for future betting: Bettors should be wary of inflated passing yardage lines and consider unders, especially when public sentiment drives lines higher. Rushing props for mobile QBs remain a strong angle, particularly in games with anticipated defensive pressure. Monitoring injury reports and offensive line health is critical for accurate prop projections.

Running Back Prop Betting Trends (Super Bowl LV–LIX)

Running back props have been subject to significant volatility, often dictated by game script and team philosophy. Overs on rushing yardage have hit at a rate of approximately 45–55%, with standout performances from Leonard Fournette (LV), Joe Mixon (LVI), Isiah Pacheco (LVII), and Saquon Barkley (LIX) providing value for over bettors.

Receiving and combined yardage props have trended higher for versatile backs, with McCaffrey and Barkley routinely exceeding their receiving lines. Touchdown props, especially for feature backs, have been profitable, with McCaffrey, Fournette, and Barkley all scoring in their respective Super Bowls.

Unders have dominated for secondary backs and in games where teams fall behind early, as seen with Ronald Jones II (LV), Cam Akers (LVI), and Kareem Hunt (LIX). Injury concerns and snap share fluctuations have made RB props particularly sensitive to late-breaking news.

Implications for future betting: Focus on feature backs with high snap shares and pass-catching ability. Unders are advisable for secondary backs and in anticipated negative game scripts. Monitor team tendencies and playoff usage patterns, as coaches often lean on their top backs in high-leverage situations.

Tight End Prop Betting Trends (Super Bowl LV–LIX)

Tight end props have been dominated by elite performers, most notably Travis Kelce. Kelce has consistently hit his over on receiving yards and receptions in Super Bowls LV, LVI, and LVIII, but missed in LIX as the Chiefs’ offense struggled. Touchdown props for Kelce have been hit-or-miss, with only two scores across six games.

Receptions and yardage props for secondary tight ends have trended under, with Higbee, Uzomah, Goedert, and Gray all missing their lines in multiple appearances. The tight end position remains highly dependent on game plan and defensive matchups, with teams often scheming to limit top options.

Notable outliers include Gronkowski’s two-touchdown performance in LV and Goedert’s six receptions in LVII. These results underscore the potential for tight ends to deliver in favorable matchups, but also the risk of underperformance in crowded target environments.

Implications for future betting: Elite tight ends in pass-heavy offenses are strong candidates for over bets on yardage and receptions. Unders are preferable for secondary options and in games with strong linebacker coverage. Touchdown props should be approached cautiously, as red zone usage can be unpredictable.

Wide Receiver Prop Betting Trends (Super Bowl LV–LIX)

Wide receiver props have exhibited the greatest variance, with hit rates for overs on yardage and receptions fluctuating between 40–60% depending on matchup and game script. Top receivers like Cooper Kupp, A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Xavier Worthy have delivered big games, often exceeding their yardage and touchdown props. Worthy’s 157 yards and two touchdowns in LIX stand out as a major outlier.

Unders have dominated for secondary receivers and in games with defensive dominance, such as Evans and Godwin in LV and Hollywood Brown in LIX. Receptions props have been particularly sensitive to target share and defensive scheme, with top options more likely to hit overs.

Touchdown props for WRs have been profitable in high-scoring games, with Brown, Smith, and Worthy all finding the end zone in recent Super Bowls. Longest reception props have also provided value, especially for deep threats in aggressive passing offenses.

Implications for future betting: Prioritize overs for WR1s with high target shares and favorable matchups. Unders are advisable for secondary options and in games with anticipated defensive pressure. Monitor injury reports and weather conditions, as these can significantly impact passing efficiency and receiver production.

Super Bowl Props Conclusion

From Super Bowl LV through LIX, prop betting has become an integral part of the NFL’s championship spectacle, offering bettors a diverse array of wagering opportunities. Quarterback, running back, tight end, and wide receiver props each present unique challenges and opportunities, with hit rates and outliers shaped by game script, player health, and matchup dynamics. The data reveals a consistent trend: public bias toward overs often inflates lines, creating value for under bettors, especially on passing and receiving props. Conversely, rushing and touchdown props for feature backs and top receivers remain strong angles for over bets.

For future Super Bowl prop betting, a disciplined, data-driven approach is essential. Bettors should leverage historical hit rates, monitor late-breaking news, and focus on player usage patterns to maximize value. As sportsbooks continue to refine their offerings and adjust lines in response to market activity, the edge will increasingly favor those who combine rigorous analysis with real-time information.

Sources

• VegasInsider: NFL Super Bowl Betting Props
• SportsBettingDime: Super Bowl 2025 Prop Outcomes
• TheLines: Super Bowl Props Odds and Strategy
• Forbes: Super Bowl LVIII Prop Bets and Results
• BettingPros: Super Bowl LIX Player Prop Bets
• WagerTalk: Super Bowl Prop Betting Trends
• Sports Illustrated: Super Bowl LVIII Player Props – Running Backs
• Sports Illustrated: Super Bowl LIX Xavier Worthy DFS Preview & Best Prop Bets
• DraftKings Sportsbook: Super Bowl Odds and Props
• BookMaker: Super Bowl LV Receivers Props
• Action Network: Super Bowl Props – Kelce & Fournette
• Pro Football Reference: Super Bowl LV Box Score
• ESPN: Super Bowl LV Box Score
• EVAnalytics: Sony Michel Rushing Yards Prop – Super Bowl LVI
• ScoresAndOdds: Tyler Higbee Player Prop Bets
• EVAnalytics: Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Prop – Super Bowl LVI
• Lineups: Cooper Kupp Player Props – Super Bowl LVI
• ESPN: Super Bowl LVII Box Score
• ESPN: Patrick Mahomes Super Bowl Prop Bets
• USA Today SportsbookWire: Travis Kelce Super Bowl Prop Bets
• ProFootballNetwork: Isiah Pacheco Super Bowl Prop Bets
• Sports Illustrated: A.J. Brown Super Bowl LVII Prop Bets
• FOX Sports: Patrick Mahomes Super Bowl Prop Odds
• ESPN: Super Bowl LVIII Box Score
• ESPN: Travis Kelce Super Bowl Prop Bets
• ATS.io: A.J. Brown Super Bowl LIX Prop Predictions
• TheGameDay: Super Bowl Prop Bets 2025
• BettingNews: Super Bowl 2025 Player Prop Odds
• SportingNews: NFL Player Props Explained
• FanDuel Research: Super Bowl LIX Player Prop Betting Trends
• SharpFootballAnalysis: Best RB Prop Bets 2025
• Sports Illustrated: Super Bowl LVIII Player Props – Wide Receivers
• SportsbookReview: Super Bowl Player Prop Picks – Receiving Props