NFL Week 17 Same Game Parlay Picks 2022
NFL Week 17 Player Prop Bet Predictions
The NFL season is coming to a close and this is one of the most difficult things about using analytics for NFL betting. When the analytics models start to work the best the season ends. Looking forward to MLB season and the 162 game schedule.
Browns vs Commanders Prop Bet Picks
Lets start with the Browns vs the Commanders. Carson Wentz gets the start and that is actually good news because he has been a very consistent performer in the Washington offense. He went over five times on both his completions and passing attempts props when he started earlier this season. I know Cleveland is soft against the run but the Commanders have their game plan & Carson will still get plenty of passes in. The sportsbooks have held off on posting this prop but here are the numbers I like.
Carson Wentz OVER Passing Attempts 34.5
Carson Wentz OVER Completions 26.5
The Browns have also been a good over bet on opposing running backs going over the rushing yards prop. However, the have been an under bet on opposing running backs rushing attempts prop. This means running backs are ripping off some good yardage without the need of a lot of attempts. This plays into also having running back Brian Robinson go over on his rushing yards props.
Brian Robinson OVER Rushing Yards 77.5 (-113)
Dolphins vs Patriots Prop Bet Picks
Mac Jones has had a difficult season but that is his problem. For me he has been money in the bank on betting the under on his passing touchdowns prop. He has gone over 2 times and under 12 times. The Dolphin defense has been good at holing opposing quarterbacks under on touchdown passes with the over covering 6 times and the under 8 times. The sportsbooks have been reducing his odds all season and now the under is (-148) but I am still on it.
Mac Jones UNDER Passing Touchdowns 1.5 (-148)
This might seem counter intuitive but Jakobi Meyers over on his receiving yards is another play I have on the game. Dolphins opposing receivers are hitting the over on receiving yards at a 55% clip and Jakobi has gone over 8 times on his receiving yards prop and under 3 times. One of those under results was when he was injured in a game.
Jakobi Meyers OVER Receiving Yards 52.3 (-113)
Vikings vs Packers Same Game Parlay
The Green Bay Packers defense has been vulnerable to the run this season. Opposing running backs have gone over on 14 rushing yards props and under on just 8. Liking Dalvin Cook to get his yards in a game that I have going over the point total. Cook has gone over on 60% of his rushing yards props this season. A nice correlation for Cook and the over on the point total. When Vikings games have gone over, Cook has gone over on his rushing yards prop 6 times and under just 3.
Dalvin Cook OVER Rushing Yards 75.5 (-114)
Looking for another player that has a nice correlation to the game going over the point total. Justin Jefferson has gone over on his receiving yards prop 8 times and under just 1 time when the Vikings game has gone over the total.
Justin Jefferson OVER Receiving Yards 101.5 (-114)
Game Total OVER 48.5 (-104)
All three together can be played on a same game parlay at Fanduel.
Vikings vs Packers Same Game Parlay +453
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