Bills vs Rams Same Game Parlay Picks & Prop Bet Predictions 2022

The NFL is back with the Bills visiting the Rams to start the 2022 season. For those of you who love to get in some wagering on the NFL it has been a long wait since the Rams beat the Bengals in the Super Bowl. One thing is certain. player prop bets and same game parlay wagers have taken off over the last couple of seasons.

We at XSportsbook.com have been tracking and betting on NFL player props for over 7 years. If you would like to see some proof of work then take a look at

“These NFL Player Prop Bets made $106,975 in 2.5 year”

This article was published back in 2019 but still has relevant information on how to approach player prop betting.

Our Bills vs Rams Same Game Parlay predictions will be based on over 75,000 NFL prop bet results in our proprietary database along with all correlating game spread and totals results. A little hint at the data used. When the Rams covered the game point spread in 2021, Matthew Stafford only went over the total on his player prop bets 39.5% of the time. Not a guy you want on your same game parlays if you like the Rams to cover. Unless, you were betting the under on his props.

Were you?

Bills Offense vs Rams Defense

Josh Allen Player Prop Bet Correlations

Josh Allen has a good correlation between going over on his player prop bets and the Bills going over the game total. When Bills games went over the total, he went over 8 times and under just 2 times on his passing yards prop bets and he went over 7 times, under 2 times, with 1 push on his passing touchdown prop bets. When Bills games went under the total his passing yards prop bets went over 0 times and under 9 times. His passing touchdown props went over just 1 time, under 6 times and, had 2 that pushed. What prop bet did Allen have a good over prop result when Bills games went under the total? Rushing yards. When Bills games went under the total, he went over on his rushing yards prop bet all nine times.

When it comes to correlating with player prop with covering the point spread Josh Allen was consistent whether the Bills covered or not. The one prop that you should always take the over on is his rushing yards prop which went over 14 times and under just 5 times.

Bills Running Back, Tight End, Wide Receiver, Kicker

Zach Moss was a consistent under bet on his props going over only 10 times and under 30 times. Devin Singletary went over on 43 and under on 39 props. On receiving yards props Devin went over 5 times and under 11 with 1 push. However, on rushing and receiving yards combined props he went over 11 times and under just 6 times. If you are going to bet on him to go over on a parlay then bet the over on the rushing and receiving combined prop.

When it comes to game point spread correlations, when the Bills lose against the spread, Zach Moss went over on just 2 props and under on 18. If you like the Rams to cover the game point spread, then taking Moss to go under on a prop shows a high correlation.

Gabriel Davis or Stefon Diggs, who would you bet to go over on his props? Last season Diggs went over on 22 props while he went under on 34. Not the results you want if you want to make an over bet. Gabriel Davis went over on 21 props and under on just 3. Yes, he was one of the top players in the NFL for going over. When the Bills covered the point spread Davis went over 11 props and under on 3 but, when the Bills did not cover the spread, he went over on all 10 times. When it comes to game totals. Davis went over 14 times and under 3 times when the game total went over. When the game total went under, he still went over on his props 7 times and under 0. Add Davis to your props if you can.

Tyler Bass was pretty much a .500 kicker on his kicking points props. He went over 10 times and under 8. Like most kickers he had a correlation to covering the point spread. When the Bills covered he went over 7 times and under 4 times.

Josh Allen & Matthew Stafford Prop Bet Results Correlated to Game Total Results for the 2021 Season

Want to do your own research? Use our FREE Player Prop Bet Database to get started. NFL Player Prop Betting Results

The Total Over columns are the prop results when the game went over the total and the Total Under columns are the results when a game went under the total

Rams Offense vs Bills Defense

Matthew Stafford Player Prop Bet Correlations

Matthew Stafford went over on 54% of his player props last season. His two best props to bet the over on might surprise you a little. He went over 13 times and under 8 times on his interception props and he went over 5 times and under 2 times on rushing yards props. Where Stafford really comes into play on same game parlays is on the correlation to covering the point spread. When the Rams covered the spread, he went over 17 times and under 26 but, when the Rams lost against the spread, he went over 41 times and under 21 times. There are two good correlations on passing attempts and completions. When the Rams covered the spread, he went over 2 times and under 6 times on both his passing yards and completions props. However, when the Rams lost against the spread, he over 9 times and under 3 times on both of these props.

Rams Running Back, Tight End, Wide Receiver, Kicker

Darrell Henderson is the type of player you want for same game parlays. When the Rams games went over the total he went over on 18 props and under on 11 but, when the Rams games went under the total he went over on just 6 props and under on 19. If you like a game total bet then add him to it. Which prop is his best SGP bet? Receiving yards. When the Rams games went over the total he went over 5 times and under 1 time. When the total went under he went over 1 time and under 5 times. The only strong prop and game correlation for Tyler Higbee was on the game total. He actually had a negative correlation when the Rams games went over the total. When the games went over the total Higbee went over on just 11 player props  and under on 20.

What about Cooper Kupp?

He was a prop bet stud if you bet the over. For the full season he went over on 43 props and under on 20. When the Rams covered the point spread he went over 20 times and under just 4 times. This is a guy to bet the over on if you like the Rams to cover the spread. How about game totals bets? Again, he is fans dream bet. When the game goes over the total he went over on 25 props and under on just 8. Betting the Rams to cover, the game to go over and Cooper Kupp to go over was good money last season. Van Jefferson was a pretty much .500 player on his props with the one exception. When the Rams covered the spread he went over only 7 times and under 16 times.

Even the kicker had a nice betting correlation. Matt Gay kicking points props went over 7 times and under just 1 time when the Rams covered the point spread.

Cooper Kupp & Gabriel Davis Prop Bet Results Correlated to Game Total Results for the 2021 Season

The Total Over columns are the prop results when the game went over the total and the Total Under columns are the results when a game went under the total

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Bills vs Rams Same Game Parlay Picks & Player Prop Predictions

Want to do your own research? Use our FREE Player Prop Bet Database to get started. NFL Player Prop Betting Results

Bills vs Rams Game Score Prediction

Score Prediction : Bills 34 Rams 24

Bills vs Rams SGP Picks that Correlate to the score Prediction

Have I not lectured enough people on taking the under bets? Well, not this time. Gabriel Davis & Cooper Kupp could be in for big days. Both teams can use a three wide set and have a better matchup against the opposing teams second or third CB. The Rams will have time to scheme some good matchups against the Bills who will be without Tre’Davious White.

Fanduel is first out with odds ( I am using Arizona odds because I am in backward ass Nevada which does not have a single sportsbook offering same game parlays).

Warning.

If you are coming to Nevada for opening weekend of NFL action then stop off in another state to make your sports bets before you get here. Nevada now has the worst NFL betting menu of any state offering onshore sports betting. Sad but true.

Here are my bets:

1. Bills -2.5
2. Game total over 52.5
3. Josh Allen over 274.5 passing yards
4. Cooper Kupp over 95.5 receiving yards
5. Gabriel Davis over 57.5 receiving yards

A $100 bet on this five event SGP would pay $1,560.24

I always recommend betting a round robin if you are serious about making money. If Kupp pulls a hamstring in the 2nd quarter then the whole bet is blown. Yes, put a little on all 5 but put most on 3 & 4 leg round robins.

Bets : 5 x 4 & 10 x 3 & 1 x 5 for a total of 16 bets.

Tip. If you are bet limited then head to the kiosk or retail window. If they will not let you round robin the bets then do them individually.

Tip. Don’t be standing behind me at the kiosk on Sunday morning. I am the jackass with two pages of bets to make.