Bills vs Bengals Same Game Parlay Pick NFL Playoffs

Bills vs Bengals will be one of the most watched playoff games ever. The game will be played in Buffalo and while there is a chance of snow the winds should be less than 10 mph so the passing games should be fully available to both teams. The Bills are 5.5 point home favorites and the game total is set at 49.5

Bengals Prop Bet & Same Game Parlay Preview

It might surprise some people that even with a big year passing Joe Burrow is still covering the under on passing yards more than the over. If you are someone who needs to bet the over then Ja’Marr Chase over on receptions has hit 10 of the 12 times it was offered this season.

Bengals Prop Bet Correlations

While knowing if a player was more likely to go over on his props than under is a good starting point. For same game parlays we need to know what is the correlation between one player and another. The most common types of same game parlays involve; rushing yards, receiving yards and passing yards. The chart below has the correlations based on how Joe Burrow did on his passing yards props.

Tee Higgins had a very strong correlation with Burrow. They either both went over or under on their passing yards & receiving yards props in 13 of the 16 games that both props were offered.

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Bills Prop Bet & Same Game Parlay Preview

Want to bet the over on Josh Allen? Try interceptions and touchdown passes. If you are going to bet the under then James Cook under on his receiving yards prop hit all 5 times it was offered this season.

Bills Prop Bet Correlations

Looking for a correlation bet on the Bills? Josh Allen passing yards prop and Gabe Davis receiving yards prop correlated to the over or under on 12 of the 16 weeks both props were offered.

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Bills vs Bengals Game Prediction

Two of the top three teams in the AFC will play for a chance to get to the AFC Championship Game. The prop bets will be dependent on the game prediction. Which bets go best with the projected score outcome I have.

I am taking the Bengals to at least cover if not win outright.

Score Prediction :

Bills 27 – Bengals 24

Bills vs Bengals Player Prop Bets

Which prop bets correlate to a Bengals cover? There are a couple on Cincinnati and maybe one surprising one on the Bills.

When the Bengals cover the spread Joe Burrow was gone over on his passing touchdown props 7 times and under 4 times. It might be obvious that a quarterback will go over on passing touchdowns and cover the point spread but it is important to understand that the Bengals will live or die on Joe Burrow passing the ball so get a little odds boost on the passing touchdowns prop along with a Bengals cover.

Joe Burrow Touchdown Passes OVER 1.5 (-125)

Another Bengal player that has a strong correlation to the Bengals covering the point spread is Tee Higgins. When the Bengals cover the spread he has gone over on his receiving yards props 7 times and under 3 times.

Tee Higgins Receiving Yards OVER 66.5 (-110)

What about an unexpected correlation. When the Bills lose against the spread, Josh Allen has gone over on his rushing yards props 6 times and under just 1 time.

Josh Allen Rushing Yards OVER 47.5 (-110)

Bills vs Bengals Same Game Parlay Bets

While I will be straight betting them I will also be betting them on a round robin same game parlay bet. Here are all four bets as one SGP,

The Same Game Parlay pays +826

• Bills 27 – Bengals 24
• Joe Burrow Passing Yards OVER 282.5 (-110)
• Tee Higgins Receiving Yards OVER 69.5 (-110)
• Josh Allen Rushing Yards OVER 47.5 (-110)